Updating Sun Belt tournament scenarios

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I’m not sure if Karl Benson could have drawn this up better, but with three conference games remaining for most teams just two Sun Belt teams have secured berths in the tournament in New Orleans. Even last-place Troy hasn’t been mathematically eliminated.

Things could get clearer on Sun Belt Showdown Saturday, when there are several pivotal games, including Georgia State’s against Appalachian State.  A Panthers (14-12, 7-10) win and it will become mathematically difficult for them to not make it in as one of eight seeds. A Panthers loss and they could face not making the tournament because their final two games are against the Louisiana schools.

The good news for Georgia State is the Mountaineers didn’t look at all interested in making it to New Orleans based upon Thursday’s 88-63 loss in Statesboro.

Here are the remaining games for the teams in the running (except for Troy because I don’t see it happening), starting with Georgia State and then continuing with the teams from the best to the worst records who are still in play. That’s why you don’t see Louisiana-Lafayette (15-11, 11-6), which all for practical purposes in in just like the Trojans are out.

Sun Belt standings

UALR                   15-2

ULM                    12-5

ULL                     11-6

UTA                     9-7

GS                        10-8

GSU                     7-10

USA                    7-10

Ark. State          7-10

Texas State       6-10

App                    5-12

Troy                   4-13

Georgia State’s remaining schedule

Feb. 27 vs. Appalachian State (5-12), which it lost to 76-67.

March 3 at second-place Louisiana-Lafayette (11-6), which it lost to 87-54.

March 5 at third-place Louisiana-Monroe (12-5), which it defeated 65-51.

Record against remaining teams: 1-2.

Conference record of remaining teams: 28-23.

Texas-Arlington (9-7)

March 23 vs. Arkansas State (7-10), which it defeated 91-64

March 1 vs. Texas State (6-10), which it defeated 65-53

March 3 vs. South Alabama (7-10), which it lost to 88-85 in overtime

March 5 vs. Troy (4-13), which it defeated 90-63

Record against remaining teams: 3-1.

Conference Record of remaining teams: 24-43.

Georgia Southern (10-8)

March 3 at Louisiana-Monroe (12-5), which it defeated 66-51.

March 5 at Louisiana-Lafayette (11-6), which it lost to 74-65.

Record against remaining teams: 1-1.

Conference record of remaining teams: 23-8.

South Alabama (7-10)

Feb. 27 vs. Louisiana-Lafayette (11-6), which it lost to 92-82.

March 3 at Texas-Arlington (9-7), which it defeated 88-85 in overtime.

March 5 at Texas State (6-10), which it lost to 78-67.

Record against remaining teams: 1-2.

Conference record of remaining teams: 26-23.

Arkansas State (7-10)

Feb. 27 vs. Texas-Arlington (9-7), which it lost to 91-64.

March 1 at Arkansas-Little Rock (15-2), which it defeated 76-73.

March 5 at Appalachian State (5-12), which it lost to 86-72

Record against remaining teams: 1-2.

Conference record of remaining teams: 29-21.

Texas State (6-10)

Feb. 27 at Arkansas-Little Rock (15-2), which it lost to 77-74.

March 1 at Texas-Arlington (9-7), which it lost to 65-53.

March 3 vs. Troy (4-13), which it lost to 66-57.

March 5 vs. South Alabama (7-10), which it defeated 78-67.

Record against remaining teams: 1-3.

Conference Record of remaining teams: 35-31.

Appalachian State (5-12)

Feb. 27 at Georgia State (7-10), which it defeated 76-67.

March 3 vs. Arkansas-Little Rock (15-2), which it lost to 81-55.

March 5 vs. Arkansas State (7-10), which it defeated 86-72.

Record against remaining teams: 2-1.

Conference record of remaining teams: 29-22.

 

Pivotal games on Saturday

Georgia State vs. Appalachian State

Louisiana-Lafayette vs. South Alabama

Louisiana-Monroe vs. Troy.

Texas-Arlington vs. Arkansas State

 

Here are more posts:

10 questions with Georgia State QB Aaron Winchester

Impact of Georgia State scheduling ACC and SEC schools in football

An update on Georgia State’s practice facility;

Georgia State/Atlanta bid to host the Sun Belt basketball tournament;

Georgia State and North Carolina schedule home-and-home football series;

Georgia State loses an assistant football coach;

Video: Ron Hunter after the loss to UALR

Other stories of interest:

Georgia State schedules home-and-home series with Vanderbilt;

How did Georgia State do on ESPN channels;

Trent Miles reviews Georgia State’s special teams and recruiting

Trent Miles reviews Georgia State’s offense

Trent Miles reviews Georgia State’s defense

Georgia State finds out its Sun Belt opponents for 2016

Georgia State welcomes six early enrollees

Georgia State adds Tennessee State to football schedule

Georgia State’s Hart named All-American

Ongoing review/preview series

Offensive line

Wide receivers

Running backs

Quarterbacks

Ongoing 2016 schedule previews

Wisconsin

Tennessee-Martin

Air Force

Ball State

 


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